At the Utah Technology Council’s Hall of Fame event in Salt Lake City on Friday, Google CEO Eric Schmidt described the future sought by Google and other tech companies: 100-megabit broadband and a supercomputer in every pocket.
“A billion people on the planet are carrying supercomputers in their hands,” Schmidt said in a conversation with Fusion-io CEO David Bradford. “Now you think of them as mobile phones, but that’s not what they really are. They’re video cameras. They’re GPS devices. They’re powerful computers. They have powerful screens. They can do many many different things, and oh, by the way, you can talk on them too. That’s what the mobile phone of today is.”
And in the next few years, he said, you’ll see things you can’t even imagine now.
Some of his comments were:
* Five years from now the internet will be dominated by Chinese-language content.
* Today’s teenagers are the model of how the web will work in five years – they jump from app to app to app seamlessly.
* Five years is a factor of ten in Moore’s Law, meaning that computers will be capable of far more by that time than they are today.
* Within five years there will be broadband well above 100MB in performance – and distribution distinctions between TV, radio and the web will go away.
* “We’re starting to make signifigant money off of Youtube”, content will move towards more video.
* “Real time information is just as valuable as all the other information, we want it included in our search results.”
* There are many companies beyond Twitter and Facebook doing real time.
* “We can index real-time info now – but how do we rank it?”
* It’s because of this fundamental shift towards user-generated information that people will listen more to other people than to traditional sources. Learning how to rank that “is the great challenge of the age.” Schmidt believes Google can solve that problem.